FinancialsResolves Aug 31, 2026
10-year yield above 4.5% on Aug 31?
US Treasury benchmark
"Above 4.5%" price
37.3¢
24h change
+0.6%
24h volume
$349.8K
Cross-venue spread
2.8¢
Cross-venue linkage
2 venues linked| Venue | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.9¢ | 38.5¢ | 38.2¢ | $235.6K | |
| Kalshi | 34.7¢ | 36.1¢ | 35.4¢ | $114.1K |
Same outcome priced richest on Polymarket (38.2¢), cheapest on Kalshi (35.4¢). That is a 2.8¢ cross-venue spread.
Price
Polymarket · last 24hVolume
hourly, USDOrder book depth
Polymarket · cumulativeOrder book
PolymarketPriceSizeTotal
46.4¢14.9K63.9K
45.3¢8.9K49.0K
44.3¢13.8K40.1K
43.3¢7.0K26.4K
42.3¢14.4K19.4K
41.2¢3.0K5.0K
40.4¢4522.0K
39.2¢1.5K1.5K
38.1¢Spread 2.3¢
37.0¢6.7K6.7K
36.1¢4.5K11.3K
35.0¢12.1K23.4K
34.1¢5.0K28.4K
32.9¢6.6K35.0K
32.1¢9.5K44.6K
31.2¢7.8K52.4K
30.2¢21.3K73.7K
Recent trades
PolymarketPriceSizeTime
38.4¢2.8K8m ago
37.9¢3999m ago
38.8¢2.1K13m ago
38.7¢1.9K21m ago
39.1¢2.3K28m ago
37.8¢68934m ago
38.7¢3.2K39m ago
38.2¢6143m ago
37.5¢2.3K50m ago
39.2¢31957m ago
39.1¢3.1K59m ago
38.1¢2.3K1h ago
38.0¢2581h ago
38.6¢4231h ago
37.3¢1.0K1h ago
37.8¢3281h ago
38.4¢6452h ago
39.2¢4572h ago
38.4¢8332h ago
37.3¢2.1K2h ago
38.8¢2402h ago
38.9¢1.7K2h ago