Lateas
FinancialsResolves Dec 31, 2026

Fed cuts twice more in 2026?

Two additional 25bp cuts

"Yes" price

46.5¢

24h change

+1.0%

24h volume

$321.7K

Cross-venue spread

2.0¢

Cross-venue linkage

2 venues linked
VenueBidAskLast24h Vol
Polymarket45.6¢46.3¢46.0¢$235.9K
Kalshi47.1¢48.8¢47.9¢$85.8K

Same outcome priced richest on Kalshi (47.9¢), cheapest on Polymarket (46.0¢). That is a 2.0¢ cross-venue spread.

Price

Polymarket · last 24h

Volume

hourly, USD

Order book depth

Polymarket · cumulative

Order book

Polymarket
PriceSizeTotal
54.0¢11.5K62.3K
53.1¢19.2K50.8K
52.3¢10.6K31.6K
51.2¢8.5K21.0K
50.2¢4.1K12.5K
49.0¢2.9K8.4K
48.1¢1.7K5.5K
47.0¢3.8K3.8K
45.9¢Spread 2.3¢
44.7¢1.5K1.5K
43.9¢4.3K5.8K
42.7¢3.1K8.9K
41.7¢4.4K13.3K
40.8¢14.5K27.7K
39.7¢20.5K48.2K
38.9¢20.2K68.4K
37.7¢25.4K93.8K

Recent trades

Polymarket
PriceSizeTime
46.6¢1.8K8m ago
46.8¢1.1K13m ago
46.0¢21614m ago
46.3¢1.4K21m ago
46.7¢2.5K27m ago
46.1¢1.3K34m ago
45.1¢2.5K42m ago
46.4¢5950m ago
45.2¢72651m ago
47.0¢2.4K55m ago
45.9¢1.9K1h ago
45.2¢3.0K1h ago
46.8¢8151h ago
46.8¢1.2K1h ago
46.7¢2.4K1h ago
46.9¢2.4K2h ago
46.1¢2.8K2h ago
45.5¢1.8K2h ago
46.0¢2.0K2h ago
45.5¢2.9K2h ago
45.6¢1.2K2h ago
45.9¢1.1K2h ago