Lateas
PoliticsResolves Oct 1, 2026

Government shutdown before October?

Federal funding lapse

"Yes" price

35.5¢

24h change

+0.6%

24h volume

$236.2K

Cross-venue spread

1.2¢

Cross-venue linkage

2 venues linked
VenueBidAskLast24h Vol
Polymarket35.7¢36.3¢36.0¢$139.7K
Kalshi34.3¢35.2¢34.8¢$96.5K

Same outcome priced richest on Polymarket (36.0¢), cheapest on Kalshi (34.8¢). That is a 1.2¢ cross-venue spread.

Price

Polymarket · last 24h

Volume

hourly, USD

Order book depth

Polymarket · cumulative

Order book

Polymarket
PriceSizeTotal
44.2¢25.6K82.5K
43.1¢15.4K56.9K
42.1¢1.7K41.6K
41.0¢9.3K39.8K
40.0¢10.2K30.5K
39.1¢10.9K20.3K
38.0¢5.7K9.4K
37.2¢3.7K3.7K
36.0¢Spread 2.4¢
34.8¢1.3K1.3K
33.8¢7.1K8.4K
32.8¢9.1K17.4K
32.0¢9.1K26.6K
31.0¢13.7K40.3K
29.7¢20.6K60.8K
28.8¢15.2K76.1K
27.8¢27.2K103.2K

Recent trades

Polymarket
PriceSizeTime
35.1¢1.2K5m ago
35.6¢3459m ago
36.5¢26410m ago
35.8¢2.5K11m ago
36.0¢1.7K17m ago
35.3¢91419m ago
36.7¢54727m ago
36.7¢2.9K36m ago
36.6¢1.9K43m ago
35.3¢3.1K49m ago
35.4¢1.1K54m ago
35.2¢2.3K55m ago
36.1¢1.0K58m ago
36.9¢2.9K1h ago
36.6¢2.6K1h ago
36.5¢8681h ago
36.7¢1.9K1h ago
36.3¢1.9K1h ago
35.2¢9811h ago
36.8¢1.1K2h ago
35.7¢1.2K2h ago
35.5¢1.1K2h ago